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Providing Value Through Service
Variability in Cash Flow
This study helps clarify the conflicting results in the CEO pay-performance
literature. The research argues that mixed results are in part because researchers
tend to conflate several constructs. The primary components of testing the
efficacy of top executive compensation package are structure, size, and risk
aversion of the CEO. Companies often argue that they structure CEO pay to
maximize shareholder value. This research addresses the question of whether
CEO pay tends to be structured appropriately. It provides evidence on one
component of evaluating the appropriateness of CEO pay.
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One strand of the literature on CEO compensation focuses on the structure of
the compensation contract, such as the proportions of incentive-based versus.
fixed compensation. Another strand of research is focused on the sensitivity of
pay to performance; Baker and Hall have elements of both streams. Gormley
finds that boards tend to reduce the proportion of the CEO's pay that is based on
options and stocks when risk in the environment increases. They also find that
CEOs do not sufficiently reduce their risk-taking activities even after boards have
signaled that they expect reduced risk taking.
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In contrast to Gormley, this study discusses explicitly control for risk in the firm's
operating environment and do not restrict risk to a single shock. This is important
because boards may respond to one-off shocks with changes in CEOs'
compensation by reducing the risk implicit in them. The typical CEO is assumed to
be risk averse, so should require that a greater portion of her compensation be
fixed as risk increases. My results show that the variable portion of compensation
tends to increase as risk in the operating environment increases.
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Compensation packages would be structured to incorporate differences in risk
aversion between CEO’s and their managers. Boards of directors often must infer
a portion of the information needed to set the CEO's compensation. Given the
challenges boards face in the CEO pay setting process, it is important to assess
how the outputs of their efforts are the relationship between CEO pay and risk
generally decreases monotonically as risk in the operating environment
increases. However, this study finds that it tends to increase. This is due to at
least four factors, including revaluation of stock and option awards. The results of
this study suggest that firms make significant attempts to align the interest of
shareholders with those of CEO’s.
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CEOs with lower levels of risk aversion may be more attracted to riskier firms or
firms facing financial distress. Some CEOs may find that they can increase their
stock-based compensation by taking riskier actions. The structure of a significant
portion of CEOs' pay is not directly tied to performance. This phenomenon may
be a consequence of attempting to shield the CEO from outcomes she may have
little control over. In such a situation, relying more on accountancy measures
implicitly invokes Holmstrom's informativeness.
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The variable portion of CEOs' total compensation tends to increase as risk in the
operating environment increases. This study can help increase policy-makers'
understanding of the economic rationale behind the pay setting process. It would
be fruitful for researchers to examine CEO pay in the context of both structure
and size, conditional on performance and operational risk. The results suggest
that at least in the extreme volatility settings, firms attempt to structure CEO pay
in a way that is consistent with agency theory. The theory suggests that
companies attempt to balance providing incentives with sharing risk between the
firm and the CEO while paying attention to the level of risk the CEO might be able
to bear.
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It is possible that CEOs self-select into companies depending on their level of
risk aversion, rather than being selected by firms. The increasing proportion of
variable pay as risk in the operating environment may support the notion that
risk adverse CEOs value stocks and options less than their intrinsic values. It is
assumed that the representative shareholder is close to risk neutral. While most
of the results are consistent with agency theory, the interpretation should be
balanced with the reality that levels of risk aversion of CEOs can vary dramatically
in practice.
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Work Cited
Asare, Kwadwo. “Variability in Cashflows and Returns and Ceo Pay.” Journal of Theoretical Accounting Research, vol. 17, no. 1, Fall 2021, pp. 65–103. EBSCOhost, search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&AuthType=ip,shib&db=bth&AN=151519170&site=bsi-live.